Wednesday, September 07, 2005
Currency log: 7th September 2005
The US$ appears to have stabilised in the 1.84 to 1.85 range. Sentiment has changed slightly in that interest rate rises may still be on the agenda for later this year. Original speculation was that further interest rises following the problems in New Orleans were highly unlikely.
If you would like to discuss further please call me on 44 [0]870 285 0364.
regards
Charles Purdy
Monday, September 05, 2005
Currency log: 5th September 2005
The US$ has weakened further to just under 1.85. The effect of Katrina is still being felt on the financial markets.
Any questions please give me a call on 44 [0] 870 285 0364
Regards
Charles Purdy
Friday, September 02, 2005
Currency update
Dear Charles,
Were always working to improve the service provided by
Smart Currency Exchange, so if I can produce information in
a better format or make it easier to understand, of if you
want me to clarify what a particular term means, please send
me your questions, suggestions and/or comments
to Charles@SmartCurrencyExchange.com
On to this weeks currency note
Currency note: 2nd September 2005
An extraordinary week for the US$. When sentiment changes,
currencies move very quickly. 3% in just under 3 days for
the US$. If you were looking to repatriate US$180,000 from
the US into sterling you would have lost £3,000 in those
three days. That is why it is so important to be in a
position to secure your position by simply making a phone
call.
The Euro vs. the £
The Euro ended the week where it started at 1.465ish. Again,
no hard news to affect the exchange rate significantly.
Sterling seems to have a slight edge but it has to be noted
that there is no clear trend just a trading range of 1.44 to
1.50. I suspect that we are not going to see any dramatic
moves unless there is a major economic or other type of event
to affect matters.
Just to remind you, the Cypriot £ and the Hungarian Forint are
closely aligned to the Euro as it is planned that they will be
replaced by the Euro in due course. Therefore they tend to
track the Euro.
If you need to BUY EUROS, now may be the time to get yourself
in a position to be able to secure a rate quickly by simply
making a telephone call. In other words, dont risk losing out
on a great rate due to the fact that youre not registered and
cant have access to buying at market rates.
To secure a rate by making one phone call, simply register and
call Smart Currency Exchange on 0870 285 0364 to request your
Smart Application Pack or if youre already registered, just
pick up the phone and call me to discuss your exact
requirements.
The US$ vs. the £
As noted above an extraordinary week for the US$. Over the
holiday weekend the US$ strengthened to 1.785. However the
knock on affect of Hurricane Katrina and the resultant
terrible situation in New Orleans on the US$ have been swift.
This morning it stands at 1.835.
Interest rate sentiment has changed. Instead of looking
for/expecting further increases in US interest rates the
expectation has changed to minimal increases in the next
few months.
However this sentiment could change if inflation is considered
to be the greater risk as the main tool to combat this seems
to be higher interest rates.
Where to now? What was already a highly complex situation has
become even more complex. As always I think the key is to work
to a realistic budget price and when this budget rate presents
itself secure it either through an immediate purchase of the
currency or through a forward contract [please call to discuss
this option if you are unclear as to what this means].
The Dirham and the US$ are closely tied. Therefore as the US$
moves so does the Dirham.
If you need to BUY USD, now may be the time to get yourself in
a position to be able to secure a rate quickly by simply making
a telephone call. In other words, dont risk losing out because
the USD strengthens while you spend time to register and cant
have access to buying instantly.
To secure a rate by making one phone call, simply register and
call Smart Currency Exchange on 0870 285 0364 to request your
Smart Application Pack or if youre already registered, just pick
up the phone and call me to discuss your exact requirements.
The Aus $ vs. the £
The Aus$ has been affected by the US$. The rate is just under
the 2.40 level. The weakening in the last week has not been as
significant as the US$ move, being less than 1%.
However, it does show that the Aus$ is affected by the US$.
Therefore short term the movement in the Aus$ may be governed
by what happens to the US$.
However, we still have to be wary as the change may be a breather
prior to further strengthening. The commodity boom continues
apace with Australia benefiting accordingly and therefore its
economic fundamentals are a lot different to those of the US.
If you need to BUY or SELL Australian Dollars, get yourself in
a position to be able to secure a rate quickly by simply making
a telephone call. In other words, dont risk losing out because
the AUS$ moves rapidly and you are spending time to register
and cant have access to exchange instantly.
To secure a rate by making one phone call, simply register and
call Smart Currency Exchange on 0870 285 0364 to request your
Smart Application Pack or if youre already registered, just
pick up the phone and call me to discuss your exact requirements.
The Can$ vs. the £
The Can$ is moved from 2.145 at the start of the week to 2.175.
A 1.4% weakening. Again, not as significant as the USs weakening
but still material.
Over the last few months the Can$ has strengthened significantly.
At the end of April it was 2.35ish. Early July it hit 2.11.
A 10% appreciation in just over 3 months! This level of 2.10
is very significant and for the Can$ to strengthen further
will take some effort.
Expectation would favour a return in the Can$ to 2.20 plus.
If you need to BUY or SELL Canadian Dollars, get yourself in a
position to be able to secure a rate quickly by simply making
a telephone call. In other words, dont risk losing out
because the CAN$ moves rapidly and you are spending time to
register and cant have access to exchange instantly.
To secure a rate by making one phone call, simply register and
call Smart Currency Exchange on 0870 285 0364 to request your
Smart Application Pack or if youre already registered, just
pick up the phone and call me to discuss your exact requirements
If you like to discuss a currency not mentioned in this note,
the latest movements, secure an exchange rate or discuss your
particular situation, please feel free to contact me
on 0870 285 0364
Think Smart,
Charles Purdy
Director
Phone: 0870 285 0364
Fax: 0870 285 0365
http://www.SmartCurrencyExchange.com
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Disclaimer
As ever these are my musing as to how I see the various
markets going. They should not be taken as fact. The market
does what it wants to do. I have no crystal ball and as
ever I recommend that if an exchange rate works for your
budget then dont try and wait for an even better exchange
rate, as Murphys Law says the rate will go against you
and cause you maximum pain!
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Thursday, September 01, 2005
Currency update 1st September 2005
The US$ lost the gains it made over the holiday weekend moving back up to 1.80ish. Could well be a good time to buy some dollars.
Any questions please call me on 44 [0]870 285 0364.
Charles Purdy
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Disclaimer
Exchange rates can move very quickly. The above rates are valid at a moment in time. We have no crystal ball and we recommend that if an exchange rate works for your budget then don’t wait for an even better exchange rate - Murphy’s Law says the rate will go against you and cause you maximum pain! Suggestions should not be taken as advice or fact.
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