Friday, January 05, 2007

Smarts Weekly Currency Note - 5th January 2007

Smart Currency Exchange - Weekly Currency Rates for Overseas Property Buyers
Weekly Currency Interbank Exchange Rates`5th January 2007
Currency
Rate Last
Week
Rate This
Week
EURO
1.486
1.484
CY£
0.853
0.852
US$
1.958
1.930
CAN$
2.280
2.268
AUS$
2.480
2.479
NZD
2.783
2.809

CHF

2.389
2.386

ZAR(Rand)

13.722
13.983

Charles's Thoughts: No real news this week that could affect sterling. The market is waiting for an insight on where UK interest rates are headed. Sterling is still getting support from countries such as China and Russia adding sterling to its currency reserves in an aim to diversify.

The US$ had a good start to the year gaining 4 cents room its low of the week. The main driver for this was the closing of short positions rather than positive economic data. It will be interesting to see if we manage to get back to 1.90 anytime soon.

The Euro will get support from increasing interest rates and the German economic juggernaut shifting up a gear. My feeling is that sterling continues to have more downside risk than upside potential. The main support for sterling seems to be based on inflationary fears.

The commodity based currencies are still susceptible to sudden weakness given the concerns over US economic performance.

Why is Currency Management So Important? Exchange rates never do what you want them to do. The rate is moving in your direction, all economic information seems to indicate that this will continue for the foreseeable future but suddenly (and instantaneously) the market reverses on you. All you see flash before your eyes are £ signs. This is why it is vital to set a budget/target exchange rate which is realistic and grab it when it is available. The rate may continue in your direction but experience has taught me that although annoying for this to happen it is a lot less painful than an actual loss.

Smart Client Testimonial: "The service we received from Smart was absolutely excellent and we would thoroughly recommend them." Mr & Mrs P Thraves, Mid Glamorgan

If you haven't opened a Smart account yet, call me on freephone 0808 153 0102 or fill out our online Account Form at: http://www.smartcurrencyexchange.com/application.htm

How much will a Property Cost? To estimate the cost of a property simply DIVIDE the price of the property by the appropriate currency rate noted above. But note this is based on the inter bank rate so the actual cost will be slightly more.


Smart Resources

Currency Strategy Worksheet
Need help creating a Currency Strategy? Download our Currency Strategy Worksheet:
http://www.smartcurrencyexchange.com/downloads/CurrencyStrategyWorksheet.pdf

Currency Report
Have your read our 10-page Currency Report that outlines the top 3 mistakes that overseas buyers make when exchanging and transferring their money overseas? Get the report here:
http://www.smartcurrencyexchange.com/downloads/ThreeMistakes.pdf

Currency Quotation
Are you interested in a currency rate for Euros, US$'s, CYP, NZD, or any other currency, please fill out our Smart quotation form at:
http://www.SmartCurrencyExchange.com/smartquotation.htm


Smart Currency Exchange Limited


Smarts Weekly Currency note - 5th January 2007

Smart Currency Exchange - Weekly Currency Rates for Overseas Property Buyers
Weekly Currency Interbank Exchange Rates`5th January 2007
Currency
Rate Last
Week
Rate This
Week
EURO
1.486
1.484
CY£
0.853
0.852
US$
1.958
1.930
CAN$
2.280
2.268
AUS$
2.480
2.479
NZD
2.783
2.809

CHF

2.389
2.386

ZAR(Rand)

13.722
13.983

Charles's Thoughts: No real news this week that could affect sterling. The market is waiting for an insight on where UK interest rates are headed. Sterling is still getting support from countries such as China and Russia adding sterling to its currency reserves in an aim to diversify.

The US$ had a good start to the year gaining 4 cents room its low of the week. The main driver for this was the closing of short positions rather than positive economic data. It will be interesting to see if we manage to get back to 1.90 anytime soon.

The Euro will get support from increasing interest rates and the German economic juggernaut shifting up a gear. My feeling is that sterling continues to have more downside risk than upside potential. The main support for sterling seems to be based on inflationary fears.

The commodity based currencies are still susceptible to sudden weakness given the concerns over US economic performance.

Why is Currency Management So Important? Exchange rates never do what you want them to do. The rate is moving in your direction, all economic information seems to indicate that this will continue for the foreseeable future but suddenly (and instantaneously) the market reverses on you. All you see flash before your eyes are £ signs. This is why it is vital to set a budget/target exchange rate which is realistic and grab it when it is available. The rate may continue in your direction but experience has taught me that although annoying for this to happen it is a lot less painful than an actual loss.

Smart Client Testimonial: "The service we received from Smart was absolutely excellent and we would thoroughly recommend them." Mr & Mrs P Thraves, Mid Glamorgan

If you haven't opened a Smart account yet, call me on freephone 0808 153 0102 or fill out our online Account Form at: http://www.smartcurrencyexchange.com/application.htm

How much will a Property Cost? To estimate the cost of a property simply DIVIDE the price of the property by the appropriate currency rate noted above. But note this is based on the inter bank rate so the actual cost will be slightly more.


Smart Resources

Currency Strategy Worksheet
Need help creating a Currency Strategy? Download our Currency Strategy Worksheet:
http://www.smartcurrencyexchange.com/downloads/CurrencyStrategyWorksheet.pdf

Currency Report
Have your read our 10-page Currency Report that outlines the top 3 mistakes that overseas buyers make when exchanging and transferring their money overseas? Get the report here:
http://www.smartcurrencyexchange.com/downloads/ThreeMistakes.pdf

Currency Quotation
Are you interested in a currency rate for Euros, US$'s, CYP, NZD, or any other currency, please fill out our Smart quotation form at:
http://www.SmartCurrencyExchange.com/smartquotation.htm


Smart Currency Exchange Limited






Smarts Daily Currency Note - 5th Janaury 2007

Smart Currency Exchange - Daily Currency Rates for Overseas Property Buyers
Free Daily Inter Bank Currency Exchange Rates4th January 2007

Currency

Rate

EURO

1.483

CY£

0.851

US$

1.941

CHF

2.386

CAN$

2.285

AUS$

2.478

Comments: The US$ has pushed back towards 1.94 interbank. Not sure if 1.90 is likely short term but we are in a period of uncertainty as the Fed is concerned about inflation and the US economy is hurting. The desired aim is a soft landing for the US economy. No major movement in the Euro.

Note: All rates are mid market inter bank and indicative at the point of publication.

To get an initial estimate of the cost of a property simply DIVIDE the price of the property by the appropriate currency rate noted above.










Wednesday, January 03, 2007

Smarts Daily Currency Note - 3rd January 2007

Smart Currency Exchange - Daily Currency Rates for Overseas Property Buyers
Free Daily Inter Bank Currency Exchange Rates3rd January 2007

Currency

Rate

EURO

1.486

CY£

0.852

US$

1.971

CHF

2.399

CAN$

2.300

AUS$

2.474

Comments: The New Year has started off quietly with the US$ still hovering around 1.97 inter bank and the Euro in the range 1.48 to 1.49 inter bank. Euro land is still expecting to raise interest rates in the short term as the ECB had descibed rates as being too accomodating [ie too low]. Otherwise we wait to see where interest rates in the UK and US are headed. Have a wonderful 2007.

Note: All rates are mid market inter bank and indicative at the point of publication.

To get an initial estimate of the cost of a property simply DIVIDE the price of the property by the appropriate currency rate noted above.



Monday, January 01, 2007

Smarts Weekly Currency Note - 1st January 2007

Smart Currency Exchange - Weekly Currency Rates for Overseas Property Buyers
Weekly Currency Interbank Exchange Rates`1st January 2007
Currency
Rate Last
Week
Rate This
Week
EURO
1.477
1.486
CY£
0.849
0.852
US$
1.955
1.958
CAN$
2.258
2.280
AUS$
2.490
2.480
NZD
2.840
2.783

CHF

2.347
2.389

ZAR(Rand)

13.843
13.722

Charles's Thoughts: All the very best for a happy and prosperous 2007. I wonder if sterling will be as strong in 2007 as it was in the second half of 2006. Interest rates have been a key support. The belief is that the next interest rate move in 2007 will be up rather than down given inflation and economic performance. It is worth remembering though that sterling has the same problems as the US$ with the UK suffering from large deficits for both balance of payments and budgets. Once interest rates start to fall then we could see a quick fall from grace.

The US$ had a torrid year hitting 15 year highs against sterling in December. Everything was against the US$ with interest rate increases being put on pause, a weakening economic performance, the twin deficits as per the UK and a "keenness" for countries such as Russia and China to diversify their reserves out of US$'s. Could 2007 be as bad. Maybe but when the US catches a cold the rest of the world is very susceptible to getting an even worse cold! So don't assume it's a one way bet.

The ECB will continue to increase interest rates in the first half of 2007. As such this will lend support to the Euro and as such we could see the Euro push back to 1.45 against sterling. Germany is beginning to move forward and as a major economic power house in the world will have a major influence on the Euro

The Canadian $ continues to weaken as it follows the US$. The US is its major export market. The New Zealand dollar is benefiting from high interest rates and the carried trade with the yen. This may be short lived as rates will have to reverse at some stage.

Why is Currency Management So Important? The number of clients who booked forward at 1.48 plus was very encouraging. They obviously realised how important it was to eliminate currency risk. And as we stand now they have also gained. So, they have achieved certainty with regard to their costs and they have made a gain against if they had to buy the currency now.

Smart Client Testimonial: "Just a quick eMail to Thank You for all your help in transfering the Euro's to Spain for me. An excellent service with helpful staff you have a receipe for success. You treated my amount of money as important as larger sums I am sure you handle. I shall recommend your services to anyone asking." Martin Rowland, London SW1

If you haven't opened a Smart account yet, call me on freephone 0808 153 0102 or fill out our online Account Form at: http://www.smartcurrencyexchange.com/application.htm

How much will a Property Cost? To estimate the cost of a property simply DIVIDE the price of the property by the appropriate currency rate noted above. But note this is based on the inter bank rate so the actual cost will be slightly more.


Smart Resources

Currency Strategy Worksheet
Need help creating a Currency Strategy? Download our Currency Strategy Worksheet:
http://www.smartcurrencyexchange.com/downloads/CurrencyStrategyWorksheet.pdf

Currency Report
Have your read our 10-page Currency Report that outlines the top 3 mistakes that overseas buyers make when exchanging and transferring their money overseas? Get the report here:
http://www.smartcurrencyexchange.com/downloads/ThreeMistakes.pdf

Currency Quotation
Are you interested in a currency rate for Euros, US$'s, CYP, NZD, or any other currency, please fill out our Smart quotation form at:
http://www.SmartCurrencyExchange.com/smartquotation.htm


Smart Currency Exchange Limited






Weekly Update on GBP, EUR, USD & Commodity-Backed Currencies

Smart Resources

Free Reports - Make sure to collect your copy!
For overseas property buyers: "Why Overseas Property Buyers Lose Money... and how YOU can avoid it" Get the report here!

For anyone relocating from the UK to another country: "How you could save £20,000 when relocating from the UK to any overseas location!" Get the report here!

Currency Quotation
Are you interested in a currency rate for euros, US dollars or any other currency? If so, please fill out our Smart quotation form.

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Disclaimer
Exchange rates can move very quickly. The above rates are valid at a moment in time. We have no crystal ball and we recommend that if an exchange rate works for your budget then don’t wait for an even better exchange rate - Murphy’s Law says the rate will go against you and cause you maximum pain! Suggestions should not be taken as advice or fact.

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