Tuesday, March 06, 2007

Smarts Daily Currency Note - 6th Marcj 2007

Smart Currency Exchange - Daily Currency Rates for Overseas Property Buyers
Free Daily Inter Bank Currency Exchange Rates6th March 2007

Currency

Rate

EURO

1.468

CY£

0.845

US$

1.927

CHF

2.341

CAN$

2.270

AUS$

2.487

Comments: Sterling has had a tough two weeks. It lost further ground yesterday morning but was reasonably stable yesterday afternoon. The equity markets went into melt down last week. This led to the yen appreciating as carried trades were deemed to be too risky. Sterling seems to have suffered unduly. UK economic fundamentals have not changed. However the market is now "controlled" by the hedge funds and when they all have to rush for the exit at the same time, anything caught in the rush will suffer e.g. sterling in this case. I get the feeling that sterling has been oversold although it may be susceptible to the expected increase in Euro land interest rates later this week.

Note: All rates are mid market inter bank and indicative at the point of publication.

To get an initial estimate of the cost of a property simply DIVIDE the price of the property by the appropriate currency rate noted above.









Monday, March 05, 2007

Smarts Daily Currency Note - 5th March 2007

Smart Currency Exchange - Daily Currency Rates for Overseas Property Buyers
Free Daily Inter Bank Currency Exchange Rates5th March 2007

Currency

Rate

EURO

1.466

CY£

0.844

US$

1.925

CHF

2.341

CAN$

2.270

AUS$

2.484

Comments: Sterling had a bad day on Friday and this has continued this morning. No real reason for this but when momentum goes against you very little can save you short term as the hedge funds scramble to cover their positions. Sterling has probably become oversold. Later this week we have the Bank of England and the European Central Bank meetings. The Bank of England is expected to keep interest rates on hold [although it is expected that one further increase in rates will happen later this year] whereas the ECB is expected to increase rates by 0.25%.

Note: All rates are mid market inter bank and indicative at the point of publication.

To get an initial estimate of the cost of a property simply DIVIDE the price of the property by the appropriate currency rate noted above.




Saturday, March 03, 2007

Smarts Weekly Currency Note - 2nd March 2007

Smart Currency Exchange - Weekly Currency Rates for Overseas Property Buyers
Weekly Currency Interbank Exchange Rates2nd March 2007
Currency
Rate Last
Week
Rate This
Week
EURO
1.491
1.473
CY£
0.858
0.845
US$
1.964
1.943
CAN$
2.277
2.288
AUS$
2.480
2.485
NZD
2.778
2.827

CHF

2.420
2.359

ZAR(Rand)

13.881
14.255

Charles's Thoughts: Sterling was having a steady week until Friday when it suddenly lost ground against the Euro and the US$. No clear cut reason as to why this happened. The main story last week was the fall out in the equity markets and the rise of the Japanese Yen against all comers. All is not lost for sterling as interest rates are still expected to be increased by at least one further 0.25% later this year.

The US$ continues to move in a narrow range between 1.94 and 1.98. At the moment it is closer to 1.94 [mainly on the back of sterling weakness]. Inflation is still a concern. The US economy is a concern [for the whole world]. And as for the budget and the balance of payments deficits they seem to have no bounds. However, it may be perverse but is the only way up as the US digs itself out of this hole!

The Euro gained another cent. That makes about a 5 cent gain in less than a month. We are at levels which make more sense. I still see the Euro having the upper hand but less upside that it had. But we are still in the top quartile of exchange rates for the last two years if we exclude December and January.

The carried trades became a major concern as the Yen gained significant ground against all currencies. The carried trade relied on borrowing in low interest rate currencies and using these funds to buy high yielding currencies. Its been a one way bet for the last two years. Suddenly everyone is heading for the exit at once. The NZD and rand lost ground.

Why is Currency Management So Important? Emotion is a factor that has to be managed when buying or selling currency and that is best achieved by setting a target rate and as and when it is hit you do the exchange. The worse feeling in the world is to find extra funds when you know that if you had stuck to you're target rate you would have saved £'000s.

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How much will a Property Cost? To estimate the cost of a property simply DIVIDE the price of the property by the appropriate currency rate noted above. But note this is based on the inter bank rate so the actual cost will be slightly more.


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Friday, March 02, 2007

Smarts Daily Currency Note - 2nd March 2007

Smart Currency Exchange - Daily Currency Rates for Overseas Property Buyers
Free Daily Inter Bank Currency Exchange Rates2nd March 2007

Currency

Rate

EURO

1.484

CY£

0.851

US$

1.954

CHF

2.392

CAN$

2.294

AUS$

2.494

Comments: Sterling continues to be steady against the Euro and the US$. The major story in the market results from Yen strength on the back of the fall in equity prices throughout the world. This is leading to concerns about the carry trade currencies where high yielding currencies usch as the New Zelland dollar are bought with borrowed low yield currencies such as the Yen. Could be interesting to see what happens with these high yield currencies as positions are unwound.

Note: All rates are mid market inter bank and indicative at the point of publication.

To get an initial estimate of the cost of a property simply DIVIDE the price of the property by the appropriate currency rate noted above.










Thursday, March 01, 2007

Smarts Daily Currency Note - 1st March 2007

Smart Currency Exchange - Daily Currency Rates for Overseas Property Buyers
Free Daily Inter Bank Currency Exchange Rates1st March 2007

Currency

Rate

EURO

1.482

CY£

0.850

US$

1.960

CHF

2.391

CAN$

2.291

AUS$

2.488

Comments: Another steady day for sterling. Nationwide announced that house prices have grown by 10% over the last year. However this was countered by weak retail consumption in January. So the market is still forecasting only one further increase in UK interest rates as it is expected that UK inflation will be contained.

Note: All rates are mid market inter bank and indicative at the point of publication.

To get an initial estimate of the cost of a property simply DIVIDE the price of the property by the appropriate currency rate noted above.








Weekly Update on GBP, EUR, USD & Commodity-Backed Currencies

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Disclaimer
Exchange rates can move very quickly. The above rates are valid at a moment in time. We have no crystal ball and we recommend that if an exchange rate works for your budget then don’t wait for an even better exchange rate - Murphy’s Law says the rate will go against you and cause you maximum pain! Suggestions should not be taken as advice or fact.

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