Thursday, October 07, 2010

EURO/GBP - 1.136
US$/GBP – 1.589
CHF/GBP – 1.521
CAN$/GBP - 1.602
AUS$/GBP – 1.604
US$/EURO - 1.398

Sterling fell to a 4 ½ month low against a generally stronger euro yesterday as concerns over more monetary easing hurt sterling. However, as has been the case of late, gains from the single currency helped boost sterling against the US dollar and saw the pound hit a high of $1.5940/£1 – the highest since early August. The major concern for the UK is the Bank of England’s monetary policy committee meeting today. After mixed messages from several key decision makers, markets are expecting the worst – more Quantitative Easing. As a result, sterling has slumped to a low of 1.1360/£1 already this morning as investors sell the pound ahead of the news. House price data did not help either, showing that prices fell by 3.6% on the month. The decision is released at 12:00pm, so expect significant sterling/ euro volatility before and after – ensure you speak to a trader asap to avoid losing out.

In the Euro zone, the euro hit an 8 month high against the US dollar above $1.39/1 as the US dollar weakened further as speculation grew that the Federal Reserve will announce further monetary easing in the next few weeks. With the euro/ US dollar prices correlating with sterling/ US dollar, any move above $1.40/1 will see sterling break $1.60/ £1 on US dollar. Aside from that, German factory orders surprised to the upside yesterday after surging to 3.4% growth on the month before against expectations of 0.9% growth. Out today there is industrial production data, but the key moves are going to come from the Bank of England. Speak to one of the team now to time your purchase to the maximum.

In the USA, the US dollar continued to lose ground yesterday as it loses favour amongst global investors as many are now almost certain that the Federal Reserve will start pumping more money into the US economy in the next few weeks. The ADP Non-Farm payroll data showed that the economy shed 39,000 jobs in the last month which doesn’t help ahead of Friday’s ‘headline’ Non-Farm figures. There is unemployment data released today, so call in now for a live price.

Elsewhere, the Australian dollar hit a 27 year high against the US dollar as the Australian economy added 50,000 jobs in the last month. This revived talk of interest rate hikes after the central bank unexpectedly kept interest rates on hold earlier in the week. The Japanese yen is hovering around 15 year highs against the US dollar, which is the level at which the Japanese government started intervention on the 15th September.

Exchange rates change every second - call Smart Currency Exchange for a live up-to-the-minute quote on our Freephone number: 0808 163 0102 (+44 (0)207 898 0541 from outside the UK) or fill out our online quote form at: SmartCurrencyExchange.com/quote.aspx

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