Friday, November 17, 2006

Smarts Weekly Currency Note - 17th November 2006

Smart Currency Exchange - Weekly Currency Rates for Overseas Property Buyers
Weekly Currency Interbank Exchange Rates`17th November 2006
Currency
Rate Last
Week
Rate This
Week
EURO
1.487
1.476
CY£
0.855
0.848
US$
1.913
1.889
CAN$
2.164
2.156
AUS$
2.492
2.459
NZD
2.873
2.840

CHF

2.369
2.369

ZAR(Rand)

13.832
13.588

Charles's Thoughts: Sterling had a baddish week. Strange that a 0.25% increase in UK interest rates has resulted in a 2 cent loss against the Euro and the US$. Just shows how rumours affect the rate. The belief was that inflation was higher than planned and therefore interest rates would continue to be increased on a regular basis. However the Bank of England believes inflation is under control and is therefore unlikely to increase interest rates short term.

The US$ is still suffering. Great uncertainty about the economy leading to difficulty in assessing future interest rate movements have undermined it. Also China is considering diversifying its reserves out of US$'s. Given this we may well see the exchange rate push back up to 1.90 inter bank.

The Euro has benefited from uncertainty about sterling and improving business confidence in Germany and the need to raise interest rates. 0.25% increase in the Euro rate is expected in December. Sterling has significant downside risk as a lot of the year was spent closer to 1.44 rather than 1.49 inter bank.

The rand continues to strengthen on the back of the increasing gold price. The Australian dollar is pushing hard against 2.45. The Canadian dollar is beginning to look susceptible given its dependence on the US economy but its commodity base should mean that any weakening is not going to be quick.

Why is Currency Management So Important? Never assume that the market is working on perfect information and that exchange rates only move one way. Sterling spent a month hitting highs for the year of 1.49 plus inter bank against the Euro. Within a week its lost 2 cents. If you had a requirement to buy Euros 100,000 and had waited to now, you would have lost £1000. Not great!

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How much will a Property Cost? To estimate the cost of a property simply DIVIDE the price of the property by the appropriate currency rate noted above.


Smart Resources

Currency Strategy Worksheet
Need help creating a Currency Strategy? Download our Currency Strategy Worksheet:
http://www.smartcurrencyexchange.com/downloads/CurrencyStrategyWorksheet.pdf

Currency Report
Have your read our 10-page Currency Report that outlines the top 3 mistakes that overseas buyers make when exchanging and transferring their money overseas? Get the report here:
http://www.smartcurrencyexchange.com/downloads/ThreeMistakes.pdf

Currency Quotation
Are you interested in a currency rate for Euros, US$'s, CYP, NZD, or any other currency, please fill out our Smart quotation form at:
http://www.SmartCurrencyExchange.com/smartquotation.htm


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Disclaimer
Exchange rates can move very quickly. The above rates are valid at a moment in time. We have no crystal ball and we recommend that if an exchange rate works for your budget then don’t wait for an even better exchange rate - Murphy’s Law says the rate will go against you and cause you maximum pain! Suggestions should not be taken as advice or fact.

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