Friday, July 31, 2009

Smart Weekly Currency Note -31st July 2009

 
  Smart Currency Exchange - Weekly Currency Rates  
Weekly Currency Interbank Exchange Rates 31st July 2009

Currency
Rate Last
Week
Rate This
Week
EURO
1.156
1.170
US$
1.642
1.658
CAN$
1.774
1.793
AUS$
2.014
2.000
NZD
2.504
2.524
AED
6.028
6.094

CHF

1.760
1.786

ZAR(Rand)

12.788
13.006

 

Charles's Thoughts: Sterling had a goodish week gaining ground against most currencies. Confidence seems to be returning to the economy. The UK Purchasing Managers Index for both services and manufacturing are at or are fast approaching 50. This index is viewed as being in expansion when at 50 and above and both indices have been moving strongly in the right direction over the last few months. The rate of decline in the UK economy is also moving in the right direction hitting 0.8% for the second quarter which was a significant improvement over the first quarter's decline of 2.5%. Interest rates are going to be kept at their current low levels for the medium term and until unemployment begins to fall. The major problem for sterling is the level of UK governm ent debt and until there is a believable plan to bring it down the upside for sterling is limited.

The US$ has lost a bit of ground against sterling. This is on the back of better US economic data and an improving stock market. The economic data is very similar to the UK with a deceleration in the rate of decline in their gross domestic product, increased economic activity and interest rates to be held at low levels for the foreseeable future. The reason for the decline is the view that the US$ is a safe haven asset and as conditions improve, investors are willing to invest in riskier assets such as sterling.

Euro land still seems to be lagging the US and the UK in its economic recovery. It reacted more slowly in addressing the key problems and also has a wide range of different economies to try and manage which is far from easy. Germany suffered a larger than expected increase in unemployment last week which I think is a good indicator of the depth of the problems that exist within their industrial power base. And deflation seems to be the order of the day throughout euro land.

Commodity and high yield currencies which have enjoyed a good run in line with the stock markets had a slight pull back this week against sterling apart from the Australian $. This benefited from remarks from the Australian Central Bank which stated that they would increase interest rates even before unemployment began to fall.

Why is Currency Management So Important? Using a bank could cost you £3-4,000 per £100,000 transferred. Buying at the "wrong" time could cost you many £'000's more as rates can move as much as 3% in a very short period of time. Then add in transfer costs that the banks charge for sending and receiving funds and you could be looking at additional costs of £10,000 per £100,000 transferred. By developing a currency strategy and by working with a specialist currency broker these losses could be minimised if not eliminated.

Smart Client Testimonial: "Thank you for making our transactions go so smoothly. As promised, our account was opened within hours. Your traders were pleasant and efficient, and each transaction was very much at the exchange rate I expected...ie not a million miles away from the inter-bank rates and certainly much better than my high street bank could quote. All in all, an easy experience and we will have absolutely no hesitation in recommending your services to any of our friends buying property abroad." Ian Pritchard If you haven't opened a Smart account yet, call me on freephone 0808 163 0102 (+44 0207 898 0541) or fill out our online Account Form at: http://www.SmartCurrencyExchange.com/application.htm

How much will a Property Cost? To estimate the cost of a property simply DIVIDE the price of the property by the appropriate rate noted above. But note this is based on the inter bank rate so the actual cost will be slightly more.

Charles Purdy
Charles Purdy


Smart Resources

Currency Strategy Worksheet
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Currency Report
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http://www.SmartCurrencyExchange.com/downloads/ThreeMistakes.pdf

Currency Quotation
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email: Charles@SmartCurrencyExchange.com
free phone: 0808 163 0102 (if calling from outside the UK, please use +44 0207 898 0541)
   


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© 2005-2009 Copyright  Smart Currency Exchange Ltd

THIS PUBLICATION DOES NOT CONSTITUTE ADVICE WITHIN THE TERMS OF THE FINANCIAL SERVICES ACT (OR ANY SUBSEQUENT REVISIONS, ADDITIONS, OR AMENDMENTS).

Disclaimer

Exchange rates can move very quickly. The above rates are the interbank rates and valid at a moment in time. The interbank rate is the rate at which the banks deal with each other in the foreign exchange markets. Suggestions should not be taken as advice or fact. The market does what it wants to do.  We have no crystal ball and as ever we suggest that if an exchange rate works for your budget then don't try and wait for an even better exchange rate, as Murphy's Law says the rate will go against you and cause you maximum trouble!




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Disclaimer
Exchange rates can move very quickly. The above rates are valid at a moment in time. We have no crystal ball and we recommend that if an exchange rate works for your budget then don’t wait for an even better exchange rate - Murphy’s Law says the rate will go against you and cause you maximum pain! Suggestions should not be taken as advice or fact.

© 2005-2010 Copyright Smart Currency Exchange Ltd THIS PUBLICATION DOES NOT CONSTITUTE ADVICE WITHIN THE TERMS OF THE FINANCIAL SERVICES ACT (OR ANY SUBSEQUENT REVISIONS, ADDITIONS, OR AMENDMENTS).