Friday, August 10, 2007

Smarts Weekly Currency Note - 10th August 2007

 
  Smart Currency Exchange - Weekly Currency Rates for Overseas Property Buyers  
Weekly Currency Interbank Exchange Rates 10th August 2007
 
Currency
Rate Last
Week
Rate This
Week
EURO
1.487
1.477
CY£
0.863
0.858
US$
2.035
2.020
CAN$
2.151
2.133
AUS$
2.377
2.393
NZD
2.653
2.712

CHF

2.469
2.415

ZAR(Rand)

14.388
14.482

Charles's Thoughts:  Sterling had a strange start to the week losing a cent and half against the Euro very first thing Monday morning. The explanations as to why the sudden movement happened have been somewhat limited especially given the lack of sterling negative news over the weekend. At the same time, there was a rapid decline in the US$ against the Euro. There has been a partial recovery in sterling during the course of the week but it would seem that sterling is now being identified as a high risk rather than a safe haven asset and, as such, is moving in line with the US$ dollar against the Euro. The flight to safety has been brought about by high volatility in the equity markets and the credit crunch in the debt market which are making investors very nervous.

The US$ has made gains against sterling. Certainly the US$ is under pressure against the Euro but sterling suffers from a lot of the same problems [i.e. the UK has an extended mortgage market, budget and balance of payment deficits and poor retail figures for July] that are inflicting pain on the US$. There is a view that we could be seeing a significant improvement in the US$ against sterling but I expect that, at best, to be a few months away.

It was only a couple of weeks ago that the Euro pushed up to towards Euro 1.50. At one stage, at the start of the week, we were close to Euro 1.465. The ECB has made it clear that interest rates will be increased next month by 0.25%. Even though the Euro is very strong against the US$, the German economy is still growing and, as the economic powerhouse of Europe, it means that Euro land is on the up. The strengthening of the Euro against the US$ and sterling was much quicker than anyone could have forecast and we wait to see if it can be sustained.

The commodity based currencies such as the Canadian $, South African Rand and Australian $ and the high interest rate currencies such as the New Zealand $ have been in the firing line for the last couple of weeks given the instability in equity and debt markets. Until a bit of stability returns, further weakness is expected, especially for the latter three.

Why is Currency Management So Important? Using a bank could cost you £3-4,000 per £100,000 transferred. Buying at the "wrong" time could cost you many £'000's more as rates can move as much as 3% in a very short period of time. Then add in transfer costs that the banks charge for sending and receiving funds and you could be looking at additional costs of £10,000 per £100,000 transferred. By developing a currency strategy and by working with a specialist currency broker these losses could be minimised if not eliminated.

Smart Client Testimonial: "Thank you for your friendly, speedy and efficient service, no fuss and the job done, your excellent service gave us one less thing to worry about. Thank you again." Mr & Mrs S. Lillick (Eastbourne)

If you haven't opened a Smart account yet, call me on freephone 0808 163 0102 or fill out our online Account Form at: http://www.SmartCurrencyExchange.com/application.htm

How much will a Property Cost? To estimate the cost of a property simply DIVIDE the price of the property by the appropriate currency rate noted above. But note this is based on the inter bank rate so the actual cost will be slightly more.

Charles Purdy
Charles Purdy


Smart Resources

Currency Strategy Worksheet
Need help creating a Currency Strategy? Download our Currency Strategy Worksheet:
http://www.smartcurrencyexchange.com/downloads/CurrencyStrategyWorksheet.pdf

Currency Report
Have your read our 10-page Currency Report that outlines the top 3 mistakes that overseas buyers make when exchanging and transferring their money overseas? Get the report here:
http://www.SmartCurrencyExchange.com/downloads/ThreeMistakes.pdf

Currency Quotation
Are you interested in a currency rate for Euros, US$'s, CYP, NZD, or any other currency, please fill out our Smart quotation form at: http://www.SmartCurrencyExchange.com/smartquotation.htm


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Smart Currency Exchange | 1 Hammersmith Grove | Hammersmith | London | W6 0NB | UK

 

© 2005-2007 Copyright  Smart Currency Exchange Ltd

THIS PUBLICATION DOES NOT CONSTITUTE ADVICE WITHIN THE TERMS OF THE FINANCIAL SERVICES ACT (OR ANY SUBSEQUENT REVISIONS, ADDITIONS, OR AMENDMENTS).

Disclaimer

Exchange rates can move very quickly. The above rates are the interbank rates and valid at a moment in time. The interbank rate is the rate at which the banks deal with each other in the foreign exchange markets. Suggestions should not be taken as advice or fact. The market does what it wants to do.  We have no crystal ball and as ever we suggest that if an exchange rate works for your budget then don't try and wait for an even better exchange rate, as Murphy's Law says the rate will go against you and cause you maximum pain!




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Disclaimer
Exchange rates can move very quickly. The above rates are valid at a moment in time. We have no crystal ball and we recommend that if an exchange rate works for your budget then don’t wait for an even better exchange rate - Murphy’s Law says the rate will go against you and cause you maximum pain! Suggestions should not be taken as advice or fact.

© 2005-2010 Copyright Smart Currency Exchange Ltd THIS PUBLICATION DOES NOT CONSTITUTE ADVICE WITHIN THE TERMS OF THE FINANCIAL SERVICES ACT (OR ANY SUBSEQUENT REVISIONS, ADDITIONS, OR AMENDMENTS).